3.04 ERA 8.7 K/9. Not a fan of it, but thats the way it works. He definitely cant play 2B, and doubt hes any better at SS. This is how you run an organization. Great point about Matt Harvey and didnt he have an arm injury? You are right about Striders value potentially increasing. Here it is again, for your convenience. Strider was the NL Rookie of the Year runner-up to Braves teammate Michael Harris II. . Love the extension deal for a young guy. Shane Spencer didnt have elite closer K numbers as a starting pitcher. Just here for Mets fans comments. You also dont know whether he took the extension in order to lock up significant money, as a hedge against injury, or because he and his agent wanted to advance pitcher salaries for others. Lets say you are going to a MLB game at your local stadium and for-the-sake-of-argument lets say there are only 4 seat choices: bleachers $15, nose-bleeds (2nd & 3rd deck) $40, between 1st and 3rd base behind the dugouts for $100, and a seat in a suite for $150. Outside revenue sources will be adjusted when available after the regular season. Thats not how you run a billion dollar company, its just not and thats exactly what they did. https://www.mlb.com/news/daniel-camarena-grand-slam-off-max-scherzer, Wouldnt call him aging crap, but hes on the decline. Saying that strider pitched last year too as the focal point of your comparison is disingenuous. I guess writers should just pick the Braves for ten years because they won a World Series with a 88 win season. Much of the play-by-play, game results, and transaction information both shown and used to create certain data sets was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by RetroSheet. You see the pieces that are already in place. 2nd year $14.75 mm, This seems like something the MLBPA would endorse. Team Date Transaction; November 14, 2022: Atlanta Braves activated RHP Spencer Strider. Prior to his MLB career, he played for minor league teams such as Augusta GreenJackets, Rome Braves, Mississippi Braves, and the Gwinnett Stripers. Lets say Strider goes to every All-Star game for the next 6 years, wins two Cy Young awards, finishes top 10 every other season, and avoids injury. Injuries are 75% covered by insurance Win Expectancy, Run Expectancy, and Leverage Index calculations provided by Tom Tango of InsideTheBook.com, and co-author of The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball. For someone like me who can only watch my team on national broadcasts due to the unavailability of my teams cable channel at a decent price, getting to watch them on TV (instead of settling for the radio like usual) a few extra times a season thanks to the Apple deal is great. From the official MLB site: To qualify for the Super Two designation, players must rank in the top 22 percent, in terms of service time, among those who have amassed between two and three years in the Majors. Anyone else a lil bothered we got a 1:05/4:05 start times at Truist? Free Agent: 2029, More Spencer Strider Pages at Baseball Reference, 2022 Braves They have a big part of their core locked up for years and have set themselves on the path to being contenders for the next five years minimum. Walk rate down to a career low while his K rate is basically at a career high. Love to see this for a team and their fan base, Win win for both sides. The game will be on WBAL/98 Rock with Geoff Arnold and Ben McDonald. The Marlins are one new owner away from being elite. . As for your tech savvy argument, its a very simple. One thing is certain: he divides his time between the four MLB teams. 2025: $9-10M It will leave many teams overpaying for pitching and when those arms get injured, most teams will selloff because they wont be able to go to the well and sign another $30M free agent to replace their ace who is gone for 18 months while recovering from surgery. While I have been a fan of the other extensions, this extension scares me a bit. 2023 Fantasy Baseball Mock Draft: Salary cap (auction) results for Head-to-Head (H2H) points league . Clemson's top freshman in 2018, but missed 2019 due to injury returned in 2020 as a weekend starter had one of the hardest fastballs on the team was both a long reliever and starter three-time ACC Academic Honor Roll member in 63.0 innings pitched over 26 appearances (10 starts) and two active seasons, he had a 5-2 record . He would have gone there if the contract offer was higher. Players dont sign team friendly controls anymore (Jose Ramirez says youre wrong). 2 things: Knowing you have certain players locked allows for more flexibility. I cannot wait for the Braves/Phillies series to start in a few hours. No, the alternative is to wait an extra year or two before extending him and then not overpaying for his arb years if/when you do still decide to extend him. 2027: $20-22M. He wouldnt get anywhere near the same amount of extra money in bonuses, and thats assuming he remains good enough to get additional bonuses after this year. Really only has 6 seasons in the ML. Braves fans are setup extremely well. Core is in place for about as long as you want it to be. Guy is putting up Randy Johnson numbers. The league would never agree to that. The greatest lineups ever? The Yankees seem to be possibly the least fan-friendly franchise in baseball. 37 Blake Snell, SP, SD. Question, Comment, Feedback, or Correction? Then blew it against the Braves and then against the Pads. However, he already has slightly more than a full year of service time. Signed thru 2028, 6 yrs/$75M (23-28) & 29 team option, Service Time (01/2023): 1.003 I wouldnt just throw around $140M in proven assets for $140M in prospects. The examples and numbers you give and your well edited comments make me believe you are a writer fiction, right? hflew: This is the first pitcher (out of the 6 players) theyve signed to an extension. All I see is people talking about record setting arb numbers without providing examples with any math. First and foremost on the agenda will be negotiations with shortstop Dansby Swanson, wholl be a free agent once the postseason concludes. Strider went on to blame the umpires for some long Mets at-bats, as well as inflating his pitch count. I dont mute your kind, but I wont bother reading your insult laden rants in the future. Its not a bargain. Sure, its risky, but theyve gotten some historic numbers in a rookie season already from Strider. The linked article at fangraphs talks about the increased likelihood of TJ surgery as pitch velocity increases, using two reference points for velo, the general takeaway is that 1 in 3 pitchers throwing 96+ mph will need Tommy John surgery between 23 and 25 years old. Read the article, be not thought of as a moron or an imbecile who is led by his ignorance and unwillingness to gain knowledge, which should be pursued despite the clear lack of capacity for you to store in in your brain! $25M (2028 Option), If he blew the lid off previous seasons with year-to-year, it would be like, $1M (2023) The contention window is wide open for years now. As of January 2022, 23% of starting pitchers in MLB and 26% of all pitchers have had TJ surgery. If thats the key, then they failed, since theyre significantly overpaying for those arb years. If he spent all of 2022 in the majors then assuming he doesnt get sent down at all next year he will have exactly 2 years of service time after 2023. Plenty that rep for other teams. His service time was at 2 years and 49 days and he did not qualify for Super 2. Has to be mostly geographic. 3rd ARB year was supposed to be $21.5 MM. There were talks mentioned in August and no deal was done. Look at them now. Olson can go either way, I think. Doesnt take a genius to see which one is better for the team. Does he love ATL to the tune of forgoing, say, $50 million? Command was an issue at times in the minors and early in the season, but Strider markedly scaled back on the number of free passes he yielded as the season wore on, finishing out the year with an 8.5% walk rate that was scarcely north of the league average. Baez and Story are declining. These guys are gamers. Not sure who he /them is/are, but I betcha Freddie wishes he wouldve had him/them last off season. Obviously Strider is going to take the guaranteed money because that takes care of his family for generations. Site occasionally posts comments multiple times. Also just stick to one account Pads Fans. Not to mention at that point, many of the players might even decide to wait out until free agency and refuse any potentially team friendly deals. Trying to compare the deals those two got to Strider is ludicrous. Overall, Strider broke out with 131 2/3 innings of 2.67 ERA ball and a 38.3% strikeout rate that paced all big leaguers who pitched at least 100 innings. Anyone who can sign up to a website and verify a second factor of authorization can do it. . Lengthy extensions to position players I get. Dansby is gone. TO make the math easy lets just say by 20%. Read more at MLB Trade Rumors. Still, given the general excellence of this group, its impossible not to be bullish on the teams future. Drafting and developing pitchers is a crap shoot no doubt and Atlanta has had their failures along the way. They arent regretting losing Rendon. The nicest condos in New York with less than half that sq. CBA has no affect on arb money because the union wouldnt let a segment of their members benefit in terms of general contract negotiations. Hes played every regular season game but 2 over the last 3 years. Thats the reverse logic he was trying to calculate for, but that doesnt make sense! I told them but they didnt listen to me. Rather pay him instead of 330 or whatever to Cole. Story 16.2 WAR With pitchers, it seems every one goes down with season ending shoulder, elbow and back injuries. (adsbygoogle=window.adsbygoogle||[]).push({}); Ralph Kiner estimated Net Worth, Biography, Age, Height, Dating, Relationship Records, Salary, Income, Cars, Lifestyles & many more details have been updated below. Strider already had TJS while he was still at Clemson. Will make luxury tax teams wary of him. One could argue that, though. Baez 14.5 WAR Being healthy doesnt make you as good. What exactly do those look like? He sought treatment through medication, but wasn't seeing the improvement he wanted. Can Story even play SS anymore? Partnered with the USA TODAY Sports Media Group|Powered by, Signed a 6 year $75 million contract extension with Atlanta (ATL), including a club option for 2029, Signed a 1 year $710,000 contract with Atlanta (ATL), Drafted by Atlanta (ATL): Round 4 (#126 overall), Drafted by Cleveland (CLE): Round 35 (#1062 overall), Drafted by Atlanta (ATL): Round 4 (#126overall), Drafted by Cleveland (CLE): Round 35 (#1062overall). Biography, Net Worth, Gossips, Salary, News & Much More. To say theres no way they avoid the luxury tax is ridiculous. 2 things: A contract representing mutual respect is a good thing. Frieds totals so far are $3.5M, $6.85M, and a potential $12.2M, which is $22.5M in arbitration through three passes at this point. Youre lucky if you get to see them at all. Luckily for . If youre Swanson, coming off this type of 2021-22 performance, why would you sign for any less than Trevor Story and Javier Baez received last winter ($140MM over six years)? He will finish 2023 with 2 years and 3 days of service time not even close to the top 22% of players in his class. I see it as a risk vs. MFF thing is, for Swanson the Braves arent going to go near what hell be offered elsewhere. We anticipate him being really good because he was yesterday in the pen. Strider will be Super Two because he will be top 2 in ROY voting and that earns him and extra year of service time in the new CBA. 2w Edited That is less than average, but in line with some long term deals for FA. Thats pretty much the point: Those arbitration payouts are only worth it at about a 95%+ projection of his future value, whereas they should be paying close to the 50% projection if even that much. Must be a great place to play if they can get all these young guys to sign for long term. Makes it more sustainable to retain this core group long term. Riley was warranted. If Strider had 1.169 time on the MLB roster, then hed be a candidate for Super-Two next year, but hes got 1.003, so he wouldnt ever be classified Super-Two unless they send him down. Injuries are 75% covered by insurance If that happens this is even worse of a deal than it looks like at first blush. Would an arbitrator just look at a base salary as the springboard for a raise, or would they consider the bonuses as part of the salary when making those decisions? Theres a reason Cohen has the money he has, and it isnt by being a fool October? Get over it already, your team choked, you should be used to Choketober and Choketember by now. Strider threw his changeup 109 times in 2022 and, among pitchers who threw at least that many, his 47.5% miss rate when . That is just temporary. They could or locked judge up years ago now they are going to pay for it or not pay for it and lose their star. Strider, 24 later this month, will earn $1MM both in 2023 and 2024. They might not be able to re-sign Swanson because of this deal adding $15M to the cap due to his cap adjusted salary and if they do, they no longer can pursue DeGrom or another big named pitcher. PinkFloyed is also excellent. Had they manipulated his service time and he was a ROY finalist hed get credited with a full year of service time and the Braves would get no draft pick. The 2029 club option gives the Braves control over what wouldve been Striders second free-agent campaign. Braves may as well just blow past the tax. Then you see it wrong, they are ALREADY PAYING HIM top dollar in this deal. Doesnt make it a bad deal for the team, either. Spellcheck losers are awesome, sorry you missed the pun. Story had to move off SS because his arms gone south and cant stay on the field. Youd think some of these young Braves players would want to bet on themselves by waiting a few years. They shouldve gotten at least 3 guaranteed free agent years plus an option year for that kind of heavy payout, and even then its unnecessarily risky for the team compared to other early career extensions. First of all, hes not a Super Two candidate, and even if he was, the Braves would have another year of control to where he wouldnt be a free agent until after 2028. The extra year of service time for Top 2 in ROY voting means that combined with his full season on the Braves roster in 2022, Strider would be entering 2024 as Super Two eligible and the Braves would have a year less control. Yum, yum, peach juice flowing, baby. Scores from any date in Major League history, Minor, Foreign, College, & Black Baseball, Frequently Asked Questions about MLB and Baseball, Subscribe to Stathead Baseball: Get your first month FREE. Degrom was 29 in his first arbitration year coming off a season no where near as dominant as Strider. Know it all..not no-it-all. Imo, you made a reasonable case for your trade evaluation w/out the amateur psychological evaluation. The Braves have to account for that in their offer. Why dont you whine about how well the Braves evaluate, draft, and develop their players while youre trolling. Thats $25 mil. See more salaries for 2021. While no one can predict the future, ATL knows these players theyre extending better than anyone. The Braves have no SS prospects at the upper mil levels. Log in Register, MLB Trade Rumors is not affiliated with Major League Baseball, MLB or MLB.com, Padres Likely To Explore Extension Talks With Josh Hader, Juan Soto This Spring, Gavin Lux Will Miss 2023 Season Due To Torn ACL, Tyler Glasnow Out Six To Eight Weeks With Oblique Strain, Giants Hire Pete Putila As General Manager, https://www.ajc.com/sports/atlanta-braves/how-the-braves-built-a-well-oiled-machine-that-could-be-here-to-stay/AMCXFCKNK5FATJ3WHTFDWRQCPY/, Blue Jays Hire James Click As Vice President Of Baseball Strategy, Padres, Manny Machado Still Discussing Extension, Brewers, Luke Voit Agree To Minor League Deal, Manny Machado Set Feb 16 Deadline For Padres Extension Talks; Team Offered Further Five-Years, $105MM, Manny Machado Planning To Exercise Opt-Out Following 2023 Season, Phillies, Aaron Nola Have Recently Exchanged Extension Offers, Offseason Review Chat: Washington Nationals, Reds Justin Dunn To Miss Start Of 2023 Season, James Paxton Suffers Hamstring Strain, Unlikely To Make Opening Day Roster, Offseason In Review: Washington Nationals, Phillies Andrew Painter Undergoing Testing On Elbow, The Guardians Former Rule 5 Breakout Reliever, Dodgers Weighing Depth Possibilities In Response To Gavin Lux Injury, The Reds Numerous Outfield Possibilities, How To Set Up Notifications For Breaking News. One BB fewer per 9 and hes right around peak Jacob deGrom. Golden struck out 276 in his rookie campaign. https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2955053-mlb-predictions-2022-updated-win-loss-projections-for-every-team, https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/2022-mlb-predictions-expert-picks-for-division-winners-and-world-series-champion-ahead-of-opening-day/, Thanks RunDMC, that is pretty lousy that Amy writer had the Mets ahead of the defending WS champions. The braves do like to buy out arbitration years where they can. Manager Brian Snitker told reporters he doesn't expect Spencer Strider to need a stint on the injured list while dealing with left oblique soreness. Wow. Strider agreed to a six-year, $75 million deal that includes a $22 million option with a $5 million buyout for 2029. You didnt just say Strider was better then Degrom and Bauer. Hes the steady eddie kind of player that gets under valued by fans. Im a Braves fan who believes that there are plenty of fans of other teams who have common sense, knowledge, and good manners. Just need to sign Vaughn, Fried, and Wright to extensions. Your login session has expired. Why? Source: USA TODAY Sports Back to the previous page Player Strider, Spencer Team Atlanta Position RHP. You know how you can tell you are wrong? I watched my home team in my home market on it myself without paying a dime or being blacked out. ~$15M (Arb2) ================================ No I said youre disingenuous because youre trying to use the 2 1/3 ML inning pitched by Strider as a full season comp to Harvey. I sure would like to have more of a track record than a single season. Also Read, Tom Stenberg, Cyrus Michael Christopher Dancy, and Morgane Stapleton. The deal includes a $22M club option, with a $5M buyout." - @ MLB Transaction Tracker. Sure, they have control of Fried/Wright (even via arb), but Strider is the first long-term arm. Very much doubt it. Im confident youve been subjected to it countless times. Join our linker program. And he performed on a cheap contract for what he produced. Really? These deals were made after Matt Olson received his eight-year, $168 million deal one day after being acquired from the As in March. One thing is certain: he divides his time between the four MLB teams Spencer Strider- Birth, Age, Ethnicity, Siblings, Education Should have let Strasburg leave. I dont always disagree w/you. Jealousys an ugly emotion. Second, thats only the top end scale. This was risky to me as well. Plus, he didn't love being so young and already dependent on medication for daily life. and injuries. Strider wouldve only counted around $750K toward the luxury tax in 2023, had he not signed this extension. Talks a lot about eating correctly, training well, and staying mentally fit. I dont really comprehend the LOL. Spencer Strider 6 hours ago The way they draft and are able to get their players so sign long term for under market value is second to none. Strider has improved his reputation this season. Union before player, always. If Strider is willing to take an extension now, he should be just as willing to do so again after another great year or two. Yes, they get one or two free agent years in exchange, but thats not enough to make up for those heavily expensive arb years in the deal. October 1, 2021 Because we respect your right to privacy, you can choose not to allow some types of cookies. The rotation is so strong that 39-year-old Morton, who re-signed for one year and $20 million, could possibly. Its about rewarding the player. Howd that one play out? The team has 15 players, none of which are Swanson, taking up $180M of their payroll in 2023. Swansons best year is his contract year, and even then its only a 115 OPS+ (when 100 is league average). HOWEVER, because he will only have 2 years and 3 days, he will not be in the top 22% of service time for guys with more than 2 years and less than 3 years. . If we remove his first-full season clunker in 2017 and fold in 2022, hes still only at a league-average 100. You make deals based on current results and future expectations. Mets698622(LOL on the 22), Harvey was in no way better than Strider at this stage of his career. 7 Cubs pitchers combine for no-hitter vs Machado, Padres, Top moments from Brady, Manning, Jordan and other athletes hosting 'Saturday Night Live', Fantasy baseball rankings, projections, strategy and cheat sheets, Rangers' Leclerc to miss WBC with neck injury, Rockies' Rodgers may need surgery, '23 at risk, Rojas to withdraw from WBC, stay with Dodgers, Braves' Strider (oblique) to have start skipped. I disagree with this because the Mets basically played .600 most of the season. However, there is also a non-zero chance he gets it between 25 and 29 years old, which makes it more like 50-75% likelihood he could need TJ surgery, again removing the benefit of a long-term deal. October 6, 2022: Atlanta Braves activated RHP Spencer Strider from the 15-day injured list. Use Fried as an example who might make roughly $40 mil through arb in total. Strider played collegiate summer baseball for the Falmouth Commodores of the Cape Cod Baseball League in 2018. It very well could be a bad deal for his team if he cant continue the level of dominance he showed this year or has constant injury problems. Not at all. I also would like to see how Strider does next year before extending him. Spencer Strider, ATL. The remaining $20-25M will be shared with the rest of the guys who arent arb. The rule is if a player finishes 2 top in the ROY balloting he is credited with a full year of service time regardless of the number of days he actually spent in the majors. Strider earned his first and only win of the season on the final day of the season while pitching in relief for the Mets. if they waited another year or two like you say, none of this would be possible with the Braves payroll. He has recorded 10 or more strikeouts in a game six times this season, including twice this month -- striking out 16 against the Colorado Rockies on Sept. 1, and 10 in his most recent start Sunday against the Phillies. Average MLB salary rose to record $4.22M in . A Super Two is in the top 22 percent (in terms of service time not performance) of all players in their service class during the offseason that they have at least 2 but less than 3 years of service time. Because extensions, more so than free-agent contracts, draw heavily from recent comparables, the Strider deal in many ways paves the way for new precedent to be established in multiple service classes. The contract will cost him $92 million if he exercises his option for seven years. the only reason they have been able to sign this massive core of players is because theyre taking risks and signing them very early. The $75MM guarantee for Strider shatters any prior precedent for pitchers with such limited experience. They have his first two free-agent years one locked in and the other as a club option. He may spend the season in AAA trying to learn how to play defense. Data Provided By Most annoying 3-2 hitter Ive watched all season. He swings at any and everything trying to make contact. I am a Yankees fan and they could learn a thing or two from The difference is he was arb eligible a fourth time after 2020 rather than being a free agent outright. I think there is some advantage, that doesnt show up on the balance sheet, when you lock in your young players. If he continues to play as h did in his rookie season, he would absolutely be at the top of the scale. It will probably cost them another 10 million a year to keep him now if Uncle Steve or the Dodgers dont jump into the bidding and steal him away from the NYY. It was that year I knew hed be a douchebag for being a Yankee bandwagoner in SoCal. In the past couple of years, they built a brand new stadium and spring training facility. If Spencer doesnt get any better than he currently is, hes still an ace. Strider was not on track to be a Super Two. Cole Phillips, RHP 7. Spencer frequently posts images of them hanging around and having the time of their lives. This is going to be the Kevin Brown deal that literally changed the market in a day. Btw, Max Fried and Kyle Wright arent garbage. Spencer Strider Contract 2022 Hes top ten talent. It wouldnt be fair to the rest of the players. Too much money for a mediocre pitcher with one good year. Anyone signing him to a Story like deal feels like a major overpay. Agreed, but they hadnt locked up any pitching long-term. Are you trying to evade someone or are you incapable of understanding the difference between elude and allude. Good thing Shane Spencer wasnt on the Braves for 2 months this season, they wouldve given him $100m. Then add in the two FA years the Braves control at $22 million each, and this deal is great for the Braves. Rct and Cosmos2 are the two Met commenters on the site that most fit this description. A.J. The Braves should evaluate Swanson based on his last 3 healthy seasons of play. But Wont cripple the team either way & theyve locked up a young core. From one English major to another, genius! The Braves are taking the approach knowing that not all of these deals will pay out, including Striders. A year ago, the Super 2 status was set a 2 years and 116 days, which is about normal, even low in recent years with most Super 2 status cutoffs falling in the 130s. His great year does not guarantee future success as he has not sustained it for nearly long enough. They're projected to have a league-high $61.7 million in salary-cap space, . The Red Sox had the opportunity to do so with Betts, Bogaerts, and Devers a few years ago and blew the opportunity. I bet the Yankees are wishing Judge took that extension earlier this year.

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